Thanks. So the best strategy is even simpler! So you do vote above the cutoff. B... | Hacker News

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		eru on March 30, 2016 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: U.S. Drops California Case Against Apple After Acc... Thanks. So the best strategy is even simpler! So you do vote above the cutoff. But the optimal cutoff is really simple to find from the polls.

winstonewert on March 30, 2016 [–]

I don't think that works. Polls tell you the levels of support of the candidates, they don't give you the probability of each candidate winning which is what you need to figure out the expected value of the winner.

eru on March 30, 2016 | [–]

I guess it's back to the prediction markets (or fivethirtyeight) then.

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