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They are in a position to judge which types of care are and are not cost effective and can refuse to cover the latter.

That doesn't always work out as well as you might think. A number of years back Medicare told hospitals they'd no longer pay for UTI treatment, unless the provider could prove that the patient had the UTI when they were admitted. This made sense, because hospital-acquired UTI is a big thing.

The thing is, what hospitals had to do to defend against this was to test everybody being admitted to prove that they already had the UTI. So from Medicare's point of view they were saving, but from a broader perspective they were pushing unnecessary costs (unnecessary tests) onto providers which increased the total amount being spent on healthcare.



It doesn't always have to work out, it just has to work out in the aggregate. The bar that the existing private insurance regime has set for discouraging wasteful medical tests isn't exactly high, though.

It's also worth pointing that what you're describing is an illusion of efficiency arising from Medicare implicitly pushing costs off onto non-Medicare patients. That wouldn't be able to happen if there weren't any non-Medicare patients.




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