If it wasn't for AI investments, it's likely the United States would be in a recession right now.
So the biggest achievement of this amazing new technology is to artificially prop up Wall Street?
For those who can read the tea leaves --- it's absolutely a bubble --- a financial bubble.
The real reason why China is ahead in many areas is because their leadership is a little more technologically savvy and progressive than ours.
If this really is a pre-war economy, we have invested heavily in unproven tech which in my opinion is a risky move that leaves the US highly vulnerable.
If this is a pre-war economy, the US is screwed not because of AI but because we started a stupid trade war that's going to cut us off of our supply of dysprosium which is critical for defense manufacturing.
The US would only be screwed in that type of scenario if they allowed themselves to be. If things really got to that point they would just take over the deposits.
The idea from the Chinese side to prevent a war by limiting the ability of the US to produce weapons.
The USA and it's allies won WWII mainly due to superior production capacity. This advantage now works in China's favor. And the USA no longer has allies.
Bottom line: If China decides to take Taiwan, the USA will have to choose between either doing nothing or mutual annihilation.
Not supporting Taiwan in this conflict would just mean a slow death for the US. Though the US is likely already in that spiral given the trump situation.
If they can hold on for another 20 years, the PRC could probably have Taiwan without firing a shot.
The US isn't going to get back manufacturing capacity on China's scale, and without real long-term economic plans beyond "bet it all on AGI", what they do have is going to be further strained. They can pump pork into the defense industry specifically, but probably not forever. You can't make a functional economy out of twelve fighter-jet plants and 500,000,000 hectares of unsellable soy.
So over time, you've got a defense partner that's finding it harder and harder to play World Police on a grand scale, and a trading partner that's less and less wealthy and able to dictate terms. Eventually, Taipei will pick up a BRICS application form out of self-interest.
It appears that China intends to make this abundantly clear to US "leadership" *before* they launch an invasion --- in hopes of avoiding mutual annihilation which neither side wants.
So the biggest achievement of this amazing new technology is to artificially prop up Wall Street?
For those who can read the tea leaves --- it's absolutely a bubble --- a financial bubble.
The real reason why China is ahead in many areas is because their leadership is a little more technologically savvy and progressive than ours.
If this really is a pre-war economy, we have invested heavily in unproven tech which in my opinion is a risky move that leaves the US highly vulnerable.