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The old government is largely dead. The new one has a carrot and a stick in front of them.


The new government is led by the Ayatollah Khamenei. The son of the last one, younger and out for revenge.

Knocking off Saddam gave us ISIS. These things have a way of going sideways.


> new government is led by the Ayatollah Khamenei

Let's see. It may be a military dictatorship using Khamenei, who may or may not even be in Iran, as a figurehead.


Not the military, the IRGC. Which is a religiously indoctrinated military.

So it would still be a theocracy, same as before, but now also run by people who are conditioned to believe that more violence is always a solution to any problem.


Unfortunately, it's now theocrat vs. theocrat.

https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3miybj6ff622f

> Hegseth: "God deserves all the glory. Tens of thousands of sorties, refuelings, and strikes, carried out under the protection of divine providence. A massive effort with miraculous protection."


Knocking off the Taliban gave us the check notes the Taliban


The IRGC is probably more analogous to the Ba’ath party than the Taliban if we’re limiting ourself to regional comparisons


This son is reportedly in coma and in no position to rule.


Yay! We cut off two of the hydra’s heads! That always ends well.


So who has the authority to claim that Iran has agreed to a ceasefire?!


Reported by whom?


The old govt was about to be toppled by people sick of it. The US attack unified those people behind the leaders son, someone they’d not have taken before, and entrenched a new generation against the US. So far the carrot and stick has them openly mocking Trump and the US as Trump makes threat, draws line, folds yet again, repeats.




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